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4 Value Stocks to Buy as AI Spending Fears & Oil Prices Rattle Markets

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Key Takeaways

  • Four value stocks stand out as AI spending fears, rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions rattle markets.
  • Low P/CF ratios and attractive valuations make SIG, ARW, GAP and OXY worth considering.
  • All four stocks have a Value Score of A, with projected EPS growth ranging from 13.2% to 204.1%.

Wall Street ended yesterday’s session on a mixed note as renewed concerns about artificial intelligence spending and escalating geopolitical tensions weighed on investor sentiment. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite declined 2.6% to close at 26,008.86, while the S&P 500 fell 1.21% to 7,663.43. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 11.89 points, or 0.02%, to settle at 52,867.98.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East added to market uncertainty, triggering a surge in oil prices and intensifying inflation concerns. Houthi strikes against Saudi targets further heightened fears of regional instability and potential disruptions to energy markets. Investors remained concerned that a prolonged conflict in the region could keep oil prices elevated and inflationary pressures persistent. Such a scenario could compel the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further.

Against this uncertain backdrop, value stocks may present an attractive opportunity for investors seeking to capitalize on market volatility. Companies trading at discounts to their intrinsic values, despite solid fundamentals and healthy growth prospects, could offer favorable entry points. As market sentiment stabilizes and investors increasingly prioritize underlying business strength and reasonable valuations, these stocks could see a valuation re-rating, paving the way for long-term capital appreciation.

When evaluating value stocks, one of the most effective valuation metrics is the Price-to-Cash Flow (P/CF) ratio. This metric measures a stock's market price relative to the cash flow the company generates on a per-share basis. A lower P/CF ratio indicates that the stock is trading at a better value, offering strong cash generation potential relative to its price. Companies — Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG - Free Report) , Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW - Free Report) , The Gap, Inc. (GAP - Free Report) and Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY - Free Report) — boast a low P/CF ratio.

Price to Cash Flow Reflects Financial Health

You must be wondering why we consider the P/CF valuation metric when the most widely used valuation metric is Price/Earnings (or P/E). An important factor that makes P/CF a highly dependable metric is that operating cash flow adds back non-cash charges such as depreciation and amortization to net income, truly diagnosing a company’s financial health.

Analysts caution that a company’s earnings are subject to accounting estimates and management manipulation. Then again, cash flow is quite reliable. Net cash flow unveils how much money a company generates and how effectively management is deploying the same.

Positive cash flow indicates an increase in the company’s liquid assets. This gives the company the means to settle debt, meet its expenses, reinvest in the business, endure downturns and finally undertake shareholder-friendly moves. Negative cash flow implies a decline in the company’s liquidity, which, in turn, lowers its flexibility to support these endeavors.

What’s the Best Value Investing Strategy?

An investment decision based solely on the P/CF metric may not yield the desired results. To identify stocks that are trading at a discount, you should expand your search criteria and also consider the price-to-book ratio, price-to-earnings ratio and price-to-sales ratio. Adding a favorable Zacks Rank and a Value Score of A or B to your search criteria should lead to even better results as these eliminate the chance of falling into a value trap.

Here are the parameters for selecting true-value stocks: 

P/CF less than or equal to X-Industry Median.

Price greater than or equal to 5: The stocks must all be trading at a minimum of $5 or higher.

Average 20-Day Volume greater than 100,000: A substantial trading volume ensures that the stock is easily tradable.

P/E using (F1) less than or equal to X-Industry Median: This parameter shortlists stocks that are trading at a discount or are equal to their peers.

P/B less than or equal to X-Industry Median: A lower P/B compared with the industry average implies that there is enough room for the stock to gain.

P/S less than or equal to X-Industry Median: The P/S ratio determines how a stock price compares to the company’s sales — the lower the ratio, the more attractive the stock is.

PEG less than 1: The ratio is used to determine a stock's value by taking the company's earnings growth into account. The PEG ratio gives a more complete picture than the P/E ratio. A value of less than 1 indicates that the stock is undervalued and that investors need to pay less for a stock that has robust earnings growth prospects.

Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2: Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) stocks are known to outperform irrespective of the market environment.

Value Score of less than or equal to B: Our research shows that stocks with a Style Score of A or B when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 or 2 offer the best upside potential.

Here are four out of the 13 value stocks that qualified the screening:

Signet, a leading specialty jewelry retailer operating brands such as Kay Jewelers, Zales, Jared and Diamonds Direct, sports a Zacks Rank #1. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 86.6%, on average. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Signet’s current financial-year sales and EPS indicates growth of 0.8% and 21.9%, respectively, from the year-ago period. SIG has a Value Score of A. Shares of SIG have risen 12.8% over the past year.

Arrow Electronics sources and engineers technology solutions for thousands of leading manufacturers and service providers. The stock sports a Zacks Rank #1. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 34.4%, on average. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Arrow Electronics’ current financial-year sales and EPS calls for growth of 27.6% and 92.7%, respectively, from the year-ago period. ARW has a Value Score of A. ARW shares have surged 74.6% over the past year.

Gap, one of the largest specialty apparel companies in America, carries a Zacks Rank #2. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 2.1%, on average. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Gap’s current financial-year sales and EPS implies growth of 1% and 13.2%, respectively, from the year-ago period. GAP has a Value Score of A. Shares of GAP have fallen 2.3% over the past year.

Occidental Petroleum is an international energy company that produces, markets and transports oil and natural gas. The stock carries a Zacks Rank #2. The company has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 46.1%, on average. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Occidental’s current financial-year sales and EPS indicates growth of 8.2% and 204.1%, respectively, from the year-ago period. OXY has a Value Score of A. OXY shares have advanced 46.8% over the past year.

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